Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.043765 0.047715 0.051726 0.056096 0.060718 0.065451 0.070660
2025-01-05 0.037672 0.043459 0.049559 0.056439 0.063958 0.071899 0.080893
2025-01-12 0.032299 0.039294 0.046925 0.055805 0.065791 0.076616 0.089175
2025-01-19 0.028846 0.036830 0.045811 0.056549 0.068925 0.082632 0.098852
2025-01-26 0.025302 0.033883 0.043828 0.056028 0.070412 0.086660 0.106228
2025-02-02 0.022749 0.031842 0.042674 0.056272 0.072625 0.091415 0.114384
2025-02-09 0.021000 0.030601 0.042324 0.057340 0.075714 0.097132 0.123645
2025-02-16 0.020099 0.030325 0.043076 0.059689 0.080308 0.104629 0.135041
2025-02-23 0.017393 0.027481 0.040412 0.057631 0.079393 0.105443 0.138428
2025-03-02 0.015584 0.025682 0.038950 0.056962 0.080085 0.108115 0.143987
2025-03-09 0.014083 0.024181 0.037770 0.056556 0.081026 0.111037 0.149819
2025-03-16 0.013592 0.024065 0.038411 0.058508 0.084962 0.117674 0.160238
2025-03-23 0.012743 0.023395 0.038290 0.059478 0.087703 0.122935 0.169128
2025-03-30 0.011899 0.022669 0.038046 0.060254 0.090186 0.127891 0.177697
2025-04-06 0.010758 0.021398 0.036957 0.059817 0.091036 0.130759 0.183660
2025-04-13 0.010110 0.020847 0.036862 0.060724 0.093657 0.135898 0.192517
2025-04-20 0.009141 0.019695 0.035819 0.060245 0.094375 0.138562 0.198232
2025-04-27 0.008458 0.018960 0.035349 0.060538 0.096114 0.142544 0.205640
2025-05-04 0.008041 0.018643 0.035484 0.061683 0.099011 0.148045 0.215024
2025-05-11 0.007965 0.018915 0.036531 0.064165 0.103778 0.156047 0.227699
2025-05-18 0.006865 0.017257 0.034473 0.062008 0.102029 0.155379 0.229094
2025-05-25 0.006172 0.016276 0.033432 0.061307 0.102277 0.157338 0.233897
2025-06-01 0.005592 0.015456 0.032602 0.060881 0.102884 0.159758 0.239301